Soccer, Hoops Next to Seed Using MPR
August 6, 2019
By Rob Kaminski
MHSAA benchmarks editor
As the topic of seeding for MHSAA Tournaments continues to swirl in the air of numerous committee meetings on an annual basis, one of the primary concerns continues to focus on the simple question: “How?”
The MHSAA for years has been working behind the scenes on potential formulas which could best be used as a standardized tool to assist in measuring strengths of teams in a given sport.
This spring, the MHSAA introduced the Michigan Power Rating in the sport of Boys Lacrosse. The Representative Council approved limited seeding beginning in 2019-20 for girls and boys soccer and girls and boys basketball, and MPR will be the metric to determine which two teams must be seeded on opposite sides of District brackets in those sports.
“The boys lacrosse tournament has been seeded since it was added as an MHSAA-sponsored sport in 2005. The seeding is done by committee based on several criteria, one of which was statewide power rankings generated by a third-party website. In the Fall of 2018, that website ceased operation – it was the perfect opportunity for the MHSAA to develop its own data-driven, purely objective ratings system and incorporate that data into the seeding criteria,” said Cole Malatinsky, administrative assistant for the sport.
“The benefits of the new MPR system have been already mentioned – it is MHSAA controlled, simple, objective, and transparent, and it can be used by other MHSAA sports in the future.”
MPR is a computer rating formula similar to the popular RPI rating. MPR provides a way to measure a team’s strength relative to other teams, based on games played against other MHSAA tournament teams, largely on the strength of their opponents’ schedules. MPR is purely objective using only the game results listed on MHSAA.com – there is no subjective human element.
What is the basic MPR formula?
MPR is calculated using wins, losses and ties for games played between teams entered into the MHSAA tournament. The final MPR number is 25% of the team's winning percentage, plus 50% of its opponent's winning percentage, plus 25% of its opponent's opponent's winning percentage.
MPR = (.25 x W%) + (.50 x OW%) + (.25 x OOW%)
The MPR formula can be applied easily to other MHSAA team sports.
What game data is included in the formula? What game data is not?
MPR looks only at results between opponents entered into the MHSAA postseason tournament. Wins, losses and ties in multi-team shortened game tournaments (lacrosse, soccer) also count. Forfeits also are counted as wins and losses.
MPR does not use the specific scores of a game or the margin of victory in a game. The location of a game is not included in the MPR formula, and the formula weighs results at the beginning of the season the same as results at the end of the season. Scrimmages are not included.
Why use the MPR formula?
Different rating systems have been used in the past or have been recommended to the MHSAA. We wanted to have a rating system where the data was controlled and stored in house and could be used for any sport featuring head-to-head competitions.
With its own rating system the MHSAA also can control the different components of the formula, thus keeping the tenets of scholastic competition at the forefront (like not including margin of victory in the formula). Finally, by listing all scores and team schedules online, as well as showing the MPR calculator on each team schedule page, the ratings are transparent and can be replicated easily.
CALCULATING MPR
What are the detailed components of the MPR formula?
You need three numbers to calculate your MPR: winning percentage (W%), opponent’s winning percentage (OW%) and opponent’s opponent’s winning percentage (OOW%).
How do you calculate winning percentage (W%)?
Divide the number of wins by the number of total games played. A tie is worth half a win. For MPR purposes, find the winning percentage against all teams that will play in the MHSAA tournament (MPR W%). Games played against out-of-state teams, varsity “B” teams, junior varsity teams, non-school club teams, and any other non-MHSAA tournament participants should not be included when calculating winning percentage. W% should be an easy number to calculate.
How do you calculate opponent’s winning percentage (OW%)?
Average the winning percentages of a team's opponents. When calculating the winning percentage of a specific opponent, use the opponents "Adjusted Winning Percentage" (ADJ W%). Adjusted winning percentage eliminates all games the team played against that opponent (as well as its games against non-MHSAA opponents).
For instance, if the team beat an opponent with an overall record of 4-1, use a record of 4-0 (1.000) for that opponent. If the team lost to an opponent, use a record of 3-1 (.750). Find the ADJ W% for all opponents, and then take the average. If a team plays an opponent team twice, that opponent’s ADJ W% will be counted twice.
OW% is not calculated via the combined record of the opponents; instead take the average of all opponent’s winning percentages.
How do you calculate opponent’s opponent’s winning percentage (OOW%)?
Use the same process described above, except calculated for the opponents of a team's opponents. This number is much harder to manually calculate, so the OW% for every team is listed on the MPR page of the MHSAA website.
Again, simply take the average of all opponent’s OW%.
How often is MPR calculated?
MPR is calculated about every five minutes. Enter a score and a minutes later the team MPR and the MPR of all the team's opponents will update.
How much will my MPR change throughout the season?
You will see wild MPR swings in the beginning of the season, but after about 10 games played your MPR will start to level out. At 20 games played you will see very little movement with each additional game played.
My score is missing. How can it be added?
This is a crowd-sourced system. Any registered user of MHSAA.com can add a missing score. ADs, coaches, parents, students and fans all can login and enter a score for any game.
What are some common errors when calculating MPR?
When calculating your team’s winning percentage, only include games against MHSAA-tournament teams. When calculating your opponent’s winning percentage, don’t include the games they played against you. When calculating ties, count the game as a half-win and half-loss.
What happens if a game is cancelled?
Because the MPR system works off of averages, it will not make a difference in the final MPR if a game cannot be rescheduled. It would not penalize, nor benefit, any team involved in that scenario.
USING THE WEBSITE
Where can I find game scores?
A list of statewide scores for all sports can be found in the MHSAA Score Center. To find a schedule for any team click on “Schools & Schedules” in the top navigation bar, search for the school, then once on the school page click the sport. You can also see a list of all schools (with links to schedules), on the statewide MPR list.
“We continue to have great success in score reporting for varsity boys lacrosse contests. While we state that schedule submission and score reporting to MHSAA.com are required, athletic directors and coaches understand that in order for MPR data to be accurate, we need consistent and accurate score reporting,” said Malatinsky. “MHSAA.com is now the primary site for high school boys lacrosse schedules, results and ratings in the state.”
How should I use the statewide list of teams and MPR?
Linked to the boys soccer page (and eventually to be added for both basketball pages and girls soccer) is a statewide listing of all Michigan Power Ratings (MPR) for teams entered into the MHSAA postseason tournament for that sport. Linked on the MPR page is an explanation of the District draw formula, describing when and how teams will be placed on the bracket.
The MPR data updates every five minutes. Click on the column headings to sort the data. You also can use the drop-down menu to show teams in one Division, or type a District number in the box to filter teams for that District (Region for boys lacrosse).
You also can click on any school name to go to its schedule page.
How do I read the school schedule page?
The schedule at the top of the page shows the date and opponent for all scheduled games, and results for games already played. If results are missing, click “Submit Score” to add a game score.
Below the game schedule is the MPR Calculator. The calculator is split into three sections. The first section shows the three MPR component scores for the team, as well as the team’s current MPR score. The second section shows the MPR information for the team’s opponents – specifically, for the opponents the team already has played (actually, for games where scores have been submitted). Only these games are included in the MPR calculation.
The third section highlights future opponents. The MPR data for future opponents are not used in the MPR calculation for the team.
PHOTO: East Kentwood and Ann Arbor Skyline play for last season’s Division 1 boys soccer championship.
Breslin Bound: 2023-24 Girls Semifinal Preview
By
Geoff Kimmerly
MHSAA.com senior editor
March 20, 2024
The 2023-24 MHSAA winter season will conclude Saturday at Breslin Center with the 50th Girls Basketball Finals.
And there are several reasons these should be just as memorable as the first 51 years ago.
For starters, seven teams are seeking to play in a championship game – and win it all, of course – for the first time.
Rockford, meanwhile, is the only 2023 title winner returning – but all four from 2022 are back looking to finish on top once again.
And Friday’s second Semifinal will be a replay of last year’s 40-36 Rams win over West Bloomfield in the Division 1 championship game, when Rockford didn’t go ahead for good until sinking a 3-pointer with 40 seconds to play.
(This will be the 50th Finals because none were played in 2020 due to COVID-19.)
DIVISION 1 - Friday
Grand Blanc (22-4) vs. Belleville (24-2) - Noon
Rockford (26-1) vs. West Bloomfield (25-1) - 2 p.m.
DIVISION 2 - Friday
Negaunee (26-1) vs. Detroit Edison (21-3) - 5:30 p.m.
Grand Rapids West Catholic (26-1) vs Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard (27-0) - 7:30 p.m.
DIVISION 3 - Thursday
Niles Brandywine (25-1) vs Lake City (25-2) - Noon
Rochester Hills Lutheran Northwest (18-9) vs Ypsilanti Arbor Prep (23-4) - 2 p.m.
DIVISION 4 - Thursday
Ishpeming (26-1) vs Fowler (24-3) - 5:30 p.m.
Frankfort (22-5) vs Kingston (26-1) - 7:30 p.m.
Finals – Saturday
Division 1 - 12:15 p.m.
Division 2 - 6:15 p.m.
Division 3 - 4 p.m.
Division 4 - 10 a.m.
Tickets for this weekend’s games are $12 for both Semifinals and Finals and available via the Breslin Center ticket office; for information and links visit the Girls Basketball page.
All Semifinals will be broadcast and viewable with subscription on MHSAA.tv, and all four Finals will air live Saturday on Bally Sports Detroit – Divisions 4 and 1 on the primary channel and Divisions 2 and 3 on BSD Extra – as well as on the BSD website and app. Audio broadcasts of all Semifinals and Finals will be available free of charge from the MHSAA Network.
The Girls Basketball Semifinals & Finals are sponsored by Sparrow Health System.
Here’s a look at the 16 semifinalists (with rankings by MPR and statistics through Regional Finals for most teams):
Division 1
BELLEVILLE
Record/rank: 24-2, No. 4
League finish: First in Kensington Lakes Activities Association East and overall
Coach: Jason Wilkins, fourth season (66-19)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 44-39 over No. 30 Holt in Quarterfinal, 49-38 over No. 17 Saline in District Final, 61-23 over No. 25 Canton in Regional Final, 54-46 over No. 15 Howell, 59-31and 61-50 over No. 16 Wayne Memorial, 64-44 over Division 2 No. 3 Detroit Country Day.
Players to watch: Sydney Savoury, 6-0 fr. G (25 ppg, 7.0 rpg); SeCrette Carter, 5-8 soph. G (14 ppg); Daria Shelby, 5-7 sr. G (11 ppg, 5.0 rpg).
Outlook: Belleville is making its first trip to the Semifinals, after winning its first Regional title since 2001, but perhaps with more in store as Savoury is among the state’s elite freshmen and Shelby the team’s only senior starter. The Tigers’ only losses were to Mason (Ohio) in mid-January and Edison near the end of the regular season, and Holt was the first playoff opponent to give Belleville a single-digit game. Junior guard Rylan Buschell adds another 10 points and seven assists per contest. Wilkins formerly was the varsity coach at Dearborn Heights Robichaud for six seasons and has led the Tigers to add to their win total every year under his leadership. Shelby has signed with Nebraska-Omaha.
GRAND BLANC
Record/rank: 22-4, No. 9
League finish: First in Saginaw Valley League
Coach: Bob Taylor, first season (22-4)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 49-27 over No. 8 Rochester Hills Stoney Creek in Quarterfinal, 44-42 over No. 10 Clarkston in Regional Final, 44-39 over No. 15 Howell in Regional Semifinal, 45-37 over No. 6 Midland Dow, 62-40 over No. 14 Traverse City Central, 52-40 over No. 26 East Lansing, 47-46 over Division 2 No. 25 Flint Powers Catholic.
Players to watch: Chelsea Bishop, 5-10 sr. G (17 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 4.2 spg); Rayven McQueen, 6-0 jr. F (10.3 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 3.3 spg); Malaya Brown, 5-9 jr. G (8.1 ppg, .6 rpg, 2.7 spg).
Outlook: Grand Blanc’s only other trip to the Semifinals came in 1977, but the Bobcats have been building toward this with 18 and 19 wins the last two seasons. Taylor has won nearly 1,000 games between the high school and college levels and took Oakland University’s women’s team to the Division II Final Four in 1990. Grand Blanc is 19-2 over its last 21 games, the losses during that run to Goodrich by two points and West Bloomfield at the end of the regular season. Sophomore guard Parc Liggins (7.3 ppg, 27 3-pointers) and senior guard/forward Kate DeWitt (6.7, 29) round out a starting lineup filled with scoring options. Bishop has signed with Alabama A&M.
ROCKFORD
Record/rank: 26-1, No. 2
League finish: First in Ottawa-Kent Conference Red
Coach: Brad Wilson, seventh season (134-34)
Championship history: Division 1 champion 2023.
Best wins: 52-36 (Quarterfinal), 70-54 and 61-42 over No. 11 Holland West Ottawa, 39-22 over No. 6 Midland Dow in Regional Final, 62-54 over No. 5 East Kentwood, 48-39 and 55-38 over No. 13 Grand Haven, 62-34 over No. 24 Byron Center, 55-48 over Division 2 No. 16 Lansing Catholic, 49-36 over Division 2 No. 8 Chelsea, 71-57 over Division 2 No. 3 Grand Rapids West Catholic, 67-44 over Division 2 No. 2 Frankenmuth.
Players to watch: Anna Wypych, 6-0 jr. G (16.5 ppg, 40 3-pointers, 3.2 apg); Grace Lyons, 5-9 sr. G (10 ppg, 47 3-pointers, 4.6 rpg); Kate Higgins, 6-0 soph. C (6.5 ppg, 6.8 rpg).
Outlook: The Rams have two starters back from last season’s championship game win and 25 of their 40 points from that victory including Lyons’ go-ahead 3-pointer with 40 seconds to play. That would be three starters and 31 points returning with 6-0 sophomore Sienna Wolfe (13.1 ppg, 42 3-pointers, 4.1 rpg), who was injured during the first District game and hasn’t returned. Lyons became the program’s all-time leading scorer this season and Rockford has continued to test itself against top competition, with the lone loss to East Kentwood and avenged a month later. Higgins and 5-10 sophomore forward Jordan Mateer (6.2 ppg, 32 3-pointers) provide additional boosts. Lyons has committed to Ferris State.
WEST BLOOMFIELD
Record/rank: 25-1, No. 1
League finish: First in Oakland Activities Association Red
Coach: Darrin McAllister, third season (74-4)
Championship history: Division 1 champion 2022, Division 1 runner-up 2023, Class A runner-up 1989.
Best wins: 54-32 over No. 12 Temperance Bedford in Quarterfinal, 61-48 over No. 3 Detroit Renaissance in Regional Semifinal, 67-28 over No. 9 Grand Blanc, 78-16 and 60-19 over No. 8 Rochester Hills Stoney Creek, 73-33 and 66-15 over No. 10 Clarkston, 67-27 over No. 23 Salem, 61-42 over Division 2 No. 1 Detroit Edison, 60-37 over Division 2 No. 5 Detroit Country Day.
Players to watch: Summer Davis, 5-9 sr. G (17.9 ppg, 68 3-pointers, 4.0 apg, 4.4 spg); Indya Davis, 5-9 sr. G/F (15.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 3.8 spg); Kendall Hendrix, 5-9 sr. F (12.8 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.0 bpg).
Outlook: West Bloomfield’s run under McAllister has been unprecedented in program history, as the Lakers followed up their 2022 title by finishing runner-up in 2023 and enter this weekend with the lone loss this season to Whitehouse Anthony Wayne from Ohio. The Davis twins were Miss Basketball Award finalists and will continue their careers together at Georgia, and Hendrix and senior guard Destiny Washington (7.6 ppg, 3.3 apg, 2.9 spg) also started during last year’s Breslin run and were top subs the championship season. Sophomore guard Sheridan Beal (7.6 ppg) has moved into the lineup this winter, adding to a starting group that as a whole had made 50 percent of its shots from the floor entering this week. Hendrix has signed with Loyola of Chicago.
Division 2
ANN ARBOR FATHER GABRIEL RICHARD
Record/rank: 27-0, No. 4
League finish: First in Catholic High School League Central and Bishop Tournament
Coach: Tim Cain, fifth season (87-26)
Championship history: Class D champion 1993, runner-up 1981.
Best wins: 50-45 over No. 6 Tecumseh in Quarterfinal, 70-28 over No. 14 Redford Westfield Prep in Regional Final, 43-30 over No. 16 Lansing Catholic, 56-41 over No. 13 Grand Rapids Catholic Central, 54-39 over Division 1 No. 3 Detroit Renaissance, 65-45 over Division 1 No. 6 Midland Dow, 50-35 over Division 3 No. 1 Ypsilanti Arbor Prep.
Players to watch: Vanessa Rodriguez, 5-5 soph. G (13.5 ppg, 50 3-pointers, 4.3 rpg, 3.7 apg, 3.5 spg); Charlotte Miller, 5-8 jr. G (11.2 ppg, 49 3-pointers, 4.5 apg); Cora Williams, 6-0 jr. C (10.3 ppg, 5.7 rpg).
Outlook: Father Gabriel Richard will play its first Semifinal since 1993 but has built to this moment also reaching the Quarterfinals in 2021 and then adding to its win total all of the next three seasons. Only Tecumseh and Farmington Hills Mercy have gotten within single digits of the Irish. Rodriguez made the all-state first team as a freshman and leads a lineup with only one senior starter, center Veronica Fredericks (5.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg). Sophomore guard Ava Rodriguez (9.1 ppg, 40 3-pointers, 3.3 apg) and junior forward Saige Edmondson (7.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg) are two more reasons to be optimistic this weekend and for the future.
DETROIT EDISON
Record/rank: 21-3, No. 1
League finish: Does not play in a league.
Coach: Monique Brown, 12th season (216-47)
Championship history: Four MHSAA titles (most recent 2022).
Best wins: 50-33 over No. 7 Goodrich in Quarterfinal, 59-57 (Regional Semifinal) and 62-53 over No. 5 Detroit Country Day, 64-57 over No. 13 Grand Rapids Catholic Central, 57-46 over Division 1 No. 4 Belleville, 65-41 over Division 1 No. 16 Wayne Memorial, 46-38 over Division 1 No. 3 Detroit Renaissance, 58-46 over Division 3 No. 1 Ypsilanti Arbor Prep.
Players to watch: Isis Johnson-Musah, 5-9 jr. G (16.9 ppg, 5.0 rpg); Devin Hagemann, 5-5 sr. G (10.2 ppg, 3.5 apg); Nabrea Lane, 5-7 sr. F (6.6 ppg, 6.0 rpg).
Outlook: After ending last season in the Regional Finals, Edison is back at Breslin with Hagemann and senior guard Na’kiya Bonner (7.2 ppg, 3.3 apg) having started on the 2022 championship team and senior guard Myana Cooksey (5.9 ppg) a top sub as a sophomore that season. The only in-state losses this winter came to West Bloomfield and Frankenmuth, and the Pioneers went 5-1 against a tough slate of out-of-state opponents. Hagemann has signed with East Carolina, Cooksey has signed with Niagara and Bonner will continue at Indiana Tech.
GRAND RAPIDS WEST CATHOLIC
Record/rank: 26-1, No. 3
League finish: First in O-K Blue
Coach: Jill VanderEnde, 10th season (169-56)
Championship history: Two MHSAA titles (most recent 1990), two runner-up finishes.
Best wins: 35-27 over No. 12 Vicksburg in Quarterfinal, 48-36 (Regional Final), 45-37 and 58-21 over No. 22 Spring Lake, 43-36 (District Final) and 60-54 over No. 13 Grand Rapids Catholic Central, 41-19 and 41-33 (OT) over No. 19 Holland Christian, 52-47 over Division 1 No. 11 Holland West Ottawa, 49-35 over Division 1 No. 33 Muskegon.
Players to watch: Elisha Dykstra, 6-0 jr. F (11.4 ppg, 4.0 apg); Reese Polega, 6-0 sr. G (11.2 ppg, 45 3-pointers, 6.6 rpg, 1.6 bpg); Alexis Asekomeh, 5-10 fr. F (9.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg).
Outlook: West Catholic is a combined 52-2 over the last two seasons, its only loss a year ago to Lansing Catholic in a Semifinal and its only defeat this winter to Rockford in December. West Catholic also went 25-2 in 2021-22 in finishing Division 2 runner-up to Edison, and Dykstra has started during all three runs while Polega and junior guard Anna Ignatoski (8.5 ppg) were top subs two seasons ago. Polega and senior forward Emma Tuttle (5.3 ppg, 9.6 rpg) joined the starting lineup a year ago, and senior guard Rebecca Tuttle (5.4 ppg) and junior guard Paige Seely-London (7.0 ppg, 41 3-pointers) have built up plenty of experience over the last two championship pursuits. Dykstra made the all-state second team in 2022-23. Polega has signed with Purdue-Fort Wayne.
NEGAUNEE
Record/rank: 26-1, No. 11
League finish: Tied for first in Western Peninsula Athletic Conference East
Coach: Mike O’Donnell, fifth season (95-22)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 50-45 over No. 25 Flint Powers Catholic in Quarterfinal, 38-21 over No. 26 Sault Ste. Marie in District Final, 54-41 over No. 29 Houghton, 57-50 over Division 3 No. 17 Manton, 65-56 over Division 4 No. 1 Ishpeming, 63-48 over Division 4 No. 13 Baraga.
Players to watch: Ella Mason, 5-8 sr. G (19.7 ppg, 50 3-pointers, 4.8 rpg); Aubrey Johnson, 5-7 jr. G (9.0 ppg, 3.3 apg, 4.3 spg); Callie Rajala, 5-10 sr. G (7.6 ppg, 32 3-pointers).
Outlook: Negaunee moved into Division 2 from Division 3 this season and not only reached the Quarterfinals for the first time since 1998 but will play in its first Semifinal as well. Mason made the Division 3 all-state second team last season and has played a sizable role in helping the Miners take these next steps after reaching Regional Finals the last two seasons. Negaunee’s only defeat this winter was to Ishpeming, by four points and avenged a month later. The Miners have had only three single-digit games aside from that loss and total given up an average of 35 points per game this season.
Division 3
LAKE CITY
Record/rank: 25-2, No. 5
League finish: First in Highland Conference
Coach: Bill Tisron, 10th season (183-44)
Championship history: Class D champion 1976.
Best wins: 36-28 (Quarterfinal) and 44-40 over No. 6 Elk Rapids, 54-41 over No. 12 Sanford Meridian in Regional Final, 44-28 (Regional Semifinal), 37-29 and 68-34 over No. 17 Manton, 47-30 (District Final) and 51-31 over No. 20 Evart, 49-37 over No. 11 Morley Stanwood, 49-36 over Division 2 No. 23 Hart.
Players to watch: MacKenzie Bisballe, 6-1 sr. G (22.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 3.0 spg, 1.6 bpg); Alison Bisballe, 6-4 sr. F (11.4 ppg, 11.9 rpg, 3.8 apg, 4.2 bpg); Payton Hogan, 6-0 sr. F (7.2 ppg, 4.0 rpg).
Outlook: Losses to Frankenmuth and Evart the first week of this season were just a warmup, as Lake City hasn’t been defeated since and downed Evart twice including in their District Final on the way to returning to the Semifinals for the first time since 2019. The Trojans have clear inside presence outrebounding their opponents by nearly 10 per game and with Alison Bisballe leading an effort that’s seen 7.2 shots blocked per contest as well. MacKenzie Bisballe made the all-state first team last season and has signed with Grand Valley State, and cousin Alison Bisballe signed with Wisconsin.
NILES BRANDYWINE
Record/rank: 25-1, No. 2
League finish: First in Lakeland Conference
Coach: Josh Hood, 16th season (329-49)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 43-34 over No. 23 Grand Rapids Covenant Christian in Quarterfinal, 59-42 over No. 4 Kalamazoo Christian in Regional Final, 45-43 over No. 3 Blissfield, 62-52 over Division 2 No. 23 Hart, 70-44 over Division 4 No. 2 Colon.
Players to watch: Ellie Knapp, 5-6 sr. G (14 ppg, 40 3-pointers, 4.6 apg, 3.8 spg); Miley Young, 5-6 jr. G (9.4 ppg, 2.8 apg); Kadence Brumitt, 5-10 sr. F (8.8 ppg, 6.7 rpg).
Outlook: Brandywine won its first Regional title since 2019 and will play in its first Semifinal since 2016. Its only loss this season came to Division 2 Vicksburg, which also reached the Quarterfinals this week. Aside from that loss, Covenant Christian and Blissfield are the only teams that have given the Bobcats single-digit games this winter – and Brandywine is allowing only 29.5 points per game. Knapp and Brumitt are the team’s only seniors, and Knapp will continue her career at Holy Cross College (Ind.) with Brumitt set to play volleyball at Valparaiso. Junior guard Adelyn Drotoz (6.6 ppg, 42 3-pointers) combines with Knapp to stretch defenses, and junior guard Adeline Gill fills out the starting lineup adding six more points a game.
ROCHESTER HILLS LUTHERAN NORTHWEST
Record/rank: 18-9, No. 55
League finish: Second in Michigan Independent Athletic Conference Blue
Coach: Jimmy Mehlberg, 10th season (147-73)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 38-16 over No. 14 Sandusky in Quarterfinal, 59-48 over No. 73 New Haven in Regional Semifinal, 52-50 over No. 30 Plymouth Christian Academy, 47-43 over Division 4 No. 27 Genesee Christian, 43-38 over Division 4 No. 32 Dryden.
Players to watch: Morgan Griswold, jr. F (8.1 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 3.3 spg); Keaira Spiehs, 5-8 fr. C (7.7 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 3.1 bpg); Charlotte Gramzow, 5-10 soph. F (9.1 ppg, 5.5 rpg).
Outlook: Lutheran Northwest last week won its first Regional title and made this run even more memorable Tuesday reaching the Semifinals by handing Sandusky just its second loss this season. The Crusaders started with their fifth District title under Mehlberg and opened the playoffs by avenging a regular-season defeat to Madison Heights Bishop Foley, which made the Semifinals last season. Guard Aliya Ozias is the team’s only senior, and sophomore forward Addie Troska adds another 5.9 ppg off the bench. Mehlberg is assisted in part by his father Ed – who led the Auburn Hills Oakland Christian girls and boys teams to a combined record of 922-323 over nearly four decades.
YPSILANTI ARBOR PREP
Record/rank: 23-4, No. 1
League finish: Does not play in a league.
Coach: Scott Stine, seventh season (139-34)
Championship history: Two MHSAA titles (most recent 2022), two runner-up finishes.
Best wins: 38-34 over No. 16 New Lothrop in Quarterfinal, 56-28 over No. 41 Brooklyn Columbia Central in Regional Final, 43-34 over No. 18 Grass Lake in District Final, 55-33 over No. 30 Plymouth Christian Academy in District Semifinal, 61-39 and 59-29 over Division 3 No. 26 Stockbridge, 59-56 over Division 1 No. 16 Wayne Memorial, 51-46 over Division 1 No. 32 Lowell, 39-36 over Division 2 No. 14 Redford Westfield Prep, 51-43 over Division 2 No. 25 Flint Powers Catholic, 53-40 over Division 2 No. 27 Lake Fenton.
Players to watch: Stephanie Utomi, 5-11 sr. F (12.6 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 3.7 spg, 1.1 bpg); Stacy Utomi, 5-10 sr. F. (10.6 ppg, 6.7 rpg); Taylor Wallace, 5-6 sr. G (13.1 ppg, 87 3-pointers).
Outlook: Arbor Prep is back at the Semifinals for the fourth time in Stine’s seven seasons and after last year’s run ended in a Regional Final. Stephanie Utomi made the all-state first team last season and with twin Stacy also started on the 2022 championship team, with Wallace and junior guard Eliza Bush (4.0 apg) coming off the bench in that title game. The Gators’ only losses this winter were to Division 1 and 2 opponents, including once apiece to Detroit Edison and Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard. The Utomi twins both have signed with Mercer.
Division 4
FOWLER
Record/rank: 24-3, No. 5
League finish: Second in Central Michigan Athletic Conference
Coach: Nathan Goerge, 14th season (202-125)
Championship history: Three MHSAA titles (most recent 2022), two runner-up finishes.
Best wins: 51-32 over No. 15 Mendon in Quarterfinal, 72-38 over No. 8 Gobles in Regional Final, 64-58 (District Final) and 69-63 over No. 3 Portland St. Patrick, 40-34 over Division 3 No. 16 New Lothrop, 46-41 (OT) and 58-34 over Division 3 No. 29 Bath, 49-43 and 37-35 over Division 3 No. 35 Pewamo-Westphalia, 47-33 over Division 3 No. 26 Stockbridge.
Players to watch: Katie Spicer, 5-7 jr. G (11.7 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.4 apg); Grace O’Hare, 5-10 sr. F (8.4 ppg, 4.0 rpg); Brooke Weber, 5-8 jr. F (7.6 ppg, 50 3-pointers).
Outlook: Fowler is making its fifth-straight trip to the Semifinals (not counting COVID-canceled 2020) and just missed making a third-consecutive Final last year, falling by two points to Baraga in the Semifinal. The Eagles are seeking their third Division 4 title in four seasons after winning back-to-back in 2021 and 2022. After opening this winter with a loss to Division 1 Midland Dow, Fowler fell only to Division 3 Dansville and rival St. Patrick and avenged both. O’Hare and senior center Rebecca Smith (4.8 rpg) both played more than a quarter of last year’s Semifinal, and freshman guard Isabella Halfmann (6.6 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 3.5 spg) has provided a boost as a major part of a mostly new rotation.
FRANKFORT
Record/rank: 22-5, No. 23
League finish: Third in Northwest Conference
Coach: Tim Reznich, 22nd season (371-147)
Championship history: Class D champion 2006 and 2005.
Best wins: 56-46 over No. 12 Mount Pleasant Sacred Heart in Quarterfinal, 64-37 over No. 31 Gaylord St. Mary in Regional Final, 45-42 over No. 10 Maple City Glen Lake in Regional Semifinal, 53-47 (District Final) and 57-53 over No. 24 Onekama, 59-45 over No. 21 St. Ignace, 39-35 over Division 2 No. 38 Kingsley.
Players to watch: Evelyn VanTol, 5-11 sr. F/C (14.9 ppg, 7.0 rpg); Savina Anhalt, 5-11 jr. F (11.6 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 4.5 apg, 3.8 spg, 2.9 bpg); Addison Jarosz, 5-10 soph. F (10.1 ppg, 5.3 ppg, 3.4 spg).
Outlook: Frankfort will play in its first Semifinal since 2015, and it’s been an impressive climb over the last six weeks as the Panthers have won 11 straight games and avenged four of their losses over the second half of the season – including one from Onekama and two to Glen Lake. They’ve continued to excel despite losing starting senior Noelle Rommell to injury at the start of the playoffs. VanTol and guard Kylee Harris (7.5 ppg) give the starting lineup two more seniors, and several underclassmen are part of the rotation and gaining valuable experience.
ISHPEMING
Record/rank: 26-1, No. 1
League finish: Tied for first in West-PAC East
Coach: Ryan Reichel, ninth season (119-76)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 65-45 over No. 21 St. Ignace in Quarterfinal, 70-42 over No. 29 Ewen-Trout Creek in Regional Final, 79-46 over Carney-Nadeau in Regional Semifinal, 63-31 (District Final) and 70-43 over No. 13 Baraga, 78-32 over No. 36 Munising, 54-51 over Division 3 No. 19 Bark River-Harris, 61-50 over Division 2 No. 29 Houghton, 57-53 over Division 2 No. 11 Negaunee.
Players to watch: Jenessa Eagle, 5-7 soph G (16 ppg, 63 3-pointers, 4.5 rpg, 4.3 apg, 3.8 spg); Jenna Maki, 5-10 sr. G (15.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 3.5 spg); Mya Hemmer, 6-1 soph. F (10.4 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 3.1 spg, 1.4 bpg).
Outlook: Ishpeming has made a significant jump from five wins just four seasons ago to 12, then 16 and now 26 as the Hematites head into their first Semifinal after winning their first Regional title since 1974. More than half the roster (7 of 12) is made up of seniors, but with the key sophomores helping lead the way. Senior 5-10 forward Addie Morton is another contributor in the post at 5.8 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. The team’s only loss came to Negaunee, playing in Division 2 this weekend, but only two other games (and against only other opponent) were decided by single digits.
KINGSTON
Record/rank: 26-1, No. 4
League finish: First in North Central Thumb League Stars
Coach: Jay Green, 17th season (342-59)
Championship history: Has never played in an MHSAA Final.
Best wins: 36-21 over No. 28 Morenci in Quarterfinal, 47-26 over No. 6 Clarkston Everest Collegiate in Regional Final, 61-44 over Division 1 No. 29 Lake Orion, 48-41 over Division 2 No. 49 Croswell-Lexington, 69-33 over Division 3 No. 21 Harbor Beach.
Players to watch: Delaney St. George, 5-6 sr. G (16.2 ppg, 84 3-pointers, 3.0 apg); Molly Walker, 5-9 soph. F (13 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 3.1 apg, 3.3 spg); Gracy Walker, 5-8 sr. G (7.8 ppg, 5.7 apg).
Outlook: After just missing making the Semifinals last season with a four-point Quarterfinal loss to Fowler, Kingston is back for the first time since 2019 and with its only defeat to Division 2 Goodrich – which suffered its only loss in a Division 2 Quarterfinal this week. St. George made the all-state second team last season, and her 84 3-pointers entering the week were 12th-most for one season in MHSAA history. She and Gracy Walker are joined by two more seniors in the starting lineup and another playing major minutes off the bench. Forward Abby Walker is another of those senior starters and adds 7.3 points and 4.9 rebounds per game; she, Gracy and Molly Walker are sisters. Kingston has won 12 straight league titles under Green.
PHOTOS (Top) Detroit Edison's Na'kiya Bonner (12) passes to teammate Devin Hagemann during Tuesday's Quarterfinal win over Goodrich. (Middle) Fowler's Elizabeth Hufnagel eyes her next move during a Regional Final win over Gobles. (Top photo by Terry Lyons; middle photo by Kolleth Photography.)